Advertisement

Ask football fans to name their favourite World Cup memories and a striking number will choose a team that did not win — an unfancied nation whose improbable run captured the imagination of the entire tournament. The underdog run is the World Cup’s most cherished genre, and across the decades the great ones share a recognisable shape.

The pattern of the run

It usually begins quietly: a team expected to make up the numbers wins its opening match, then survives its group, gathering belief and neutral affection as it goes. Then comes the signature moment — the giant slain, a tournament favourite eliminated by a side ranked far below it, often against the run of play and on the back of a heroic defensive performance and an inspired goalkeeper. That single result transforms the run from a curiosity into a story the whole world starts to follow.

From there the momentum builds its own weight. The players, with nothing expected of them, play free and fearless; the pressure sits entirely on their opponents. Each round survived makes the next giant more nervous about being the one to lose to them. Underdog runs feed on the anxiety they create.

Advertisement

Why they end

Almost all of them stop short of the ultimate prize, and the reasons are the ones we have met before: the settled but thin squad tires, the inspired individuals cool, and the quality gap that momentum papered over finally tells in a match too far. The end is often poignant — a narrow defeat, a shootout, a single moment — but rarely shameful. The team goes home having given its nation a summer it will never forget.

And that is the point. The underdog run is proof that the World Cup is not only a contest the biggest nations win, but a stage where anyone can, for a few glorious weeks, belong among the best. It is the tournament’s democratic heart, and it is why we fall in love with teams we had barely heard of a month before. In 2026, with 48 teams and more debutants than ever, the conditions for a new legend are riper than they have ever been.